I used to pride myself on being able to read accurately the mood of my local area and predict reasonably accurately its election results. However, when I cast my vote in the AV referendum on Thursday morning, I have to confess that I had absolutely no inkling that I was voting in one of only ten local areas (out of 439 in Great Britain as a whole) that would record a majority of “YES” votes when the results were finally declared.
My feeling had been that Haringey would vote (albeit narrowly) against AV. In fact, the declared result showed a vote for “YES” by a margin of 56.62% to 43.38% – the fourth biggest margin in the country.
It is not clear whether there any distinguishing features in the the ten local districts that voted “YES”:
- Edinburgh Central
- Glasgow Kelvin
No doubt some academic will do the demographic analysis and the psephological postmortem ……